Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000101 0.000111 0.000122 0.000135 0.000149 0.000164 0.000181
2026-02-08 0.000080 0.000095 0.000112 0.000133 0.000158 0.000188 0.000225
2026-02-15 0.000066 0.000083 0.000103 0.000130 0.000163 0.000206 0.000262
2026-02-22 0.000059 0.000077 0.000100 0.000131 0.000173 0.000228 0.000307
2026-03-01 0.000054 0.000073 0.000098 0.000133 0.000184 0.000253 0.000356
2026-03-08 0.000048 0.000066 0.000092 0.000130 0.000186 0.000265 0.000389
2026-03-15 0.000042 0.000060 0.000086 0.000126 0.000185 0.000273 0.000416
2026-03-22 0.000039 0.000058 0.000085 0.000127 0.000193 0.000294 0.000463
2026-03-29 0.000037 0.000056 0.000083 0.000128 0.000201 0.000316 0.000515
2026-04-05 0.000034 0.000052 0.000080 0.000126 0.000203 0.000328 0.000551
2026-04-12 0.000032 0.000050 0.000078 0.000126 0.000208 0.000345 0.000597
2026-04-19 0.000029 0.000047 0.000075 0.000124 0.000210 0.000356 0.000635
2026-04-26 0.000028 0.000045 0.000073 0.000124 0.000215 0.000376 0.000691
2026-05-03 0.000025 0.000042 0.000071 0.000122 0.000217 0.000389 0.000737
2026-05-10 0.000023 0.000040 0.000068 0.000119 0.000217 0.000398 0.000777
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000039 0.000067 0.000120 0.000224 0.000422 0.000849
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000038 0.000067 0.000123 0.000234 0.000452 0.000937
2026-05-31 0.000020 0.000036 0.000064 0.000120 0.000233 0.000461 0.000980
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000116 0.000230 0.000464 0.001010
2026-06-14 0.000018 0.000032 0.000060 0.000117 0.000237 0.000489 0.001096
2026-06-21 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000118 0.000245 0.000518 0.001190
2026-06-28 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000116 0.000245 0.000530 0.001248
2026-07-05 0.000015 0.000029 0.000057 0.000116 0.000250 0.000550 0.001329